News

French companies in 2019: Rise in insolvencies but higher margins will allow cushioning the impact of slowing global trade

11/27/2018

• After two years of improvement, insolvencies are on the rise and this trend should continue in 2019 (forecast of +0.8%)
• This uptrend mainly affects micro-enterprises with revenues of less than EUR 500,000
• The disappointing export performance of French companies is partly due to their choice to increase their margin rate
• This applies to most key export sectors: automotive, pharmaceuticals, aeronautics and agri-food
• But this recovery in margins would be an advantage to cushion the impact of slowing global trade in 2019

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SMEs in China: Monetary easing won’t be sufficient to reduce credit pressure

11/19/2018

When considering risk in the Chinese economy, a lot of the discussion has focused on large State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) or large private conglomerates. However, headwinds impacting Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) should not be neglected. SMEs are scrambling to access financial resources to meet their working capital and long-term expansion needs, amidst a looming trade war with the United States and rapidly deteriorating financing conditions. Given their importance in the Chinese economy, it is likely that policymakers will take steps to prevent SMEs from becoming the weak link. Several measures could be helpful: prudent fiscal stimulus, a rational approach to regulating shadow banking, and a shift to more market-based interest rates so as to reward underwriting procedures that allocate adequate risk returns.

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Wind energy industry: production costs will increase under the influence of the trade war and the liquidity squeeze

11/12/2018

European wind energy manufacturers are likely to keep leading position for next 10 years

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Halfway through its trade diversification process, the United Arab Emirates is yet to be integrated into international value chains

10/25/2018

• Thanks to its strategic location, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) plays a central role in regional exports and re-exports, as demonstrated by its various economic and cooperation agreements with other countries.
• Further involvement in the Belt and Road Initiative[1] represents both a risk and an opportunity for the UAE.
• However, the country is still only halfway through its diversification process, and is yet to be integrated in global value chains.

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